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It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 12:40 am
by Joe Guy
Assuming one or both presidential candidates don't drop out of the race, what do you predict will be the result of the presidential election for 2016?

I believe Hillary will win by a landslide and Trump will claim that the election was rigged. There will be some riots on the day after election day but they will fizzle out when they slowly realize nobody cares what the Trumpy Doodle Dummies are doing anymore...

This poll runs until 7/4/2016 and you can only vote once and can't change it afterwards.

Re: It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 1:09 am
by Scooter
What constitutes a landslide, because normally that means 400+ electoral votes.

Re: It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 1:35 am
by Joe Guy
To me a landslide vote is one where one candidate wins the popular vote by 10 % or more and gets an overwhelming amount of electoral votes.

I found the following examples of Electoral vote landslides on Google:

1996: Democrat Bill Clinton won 379 electoral votes against Republican Bob Dole, who received only 159 electoral votes.

1988: Republican George H.W. Bush won 426 electoral votes against Michael S. Dukakis, who received only 111.

1984: Republican Ronald Reagan won 525 electoral votes against Democrat Walter Mondale, who got only 13 electoral votes.

1980: Reagan won 489 electoral votes against Democrat Jimmy Carter, who got only 49 electoral votes.

1972: Republican Richard Nixon won 520 electoral votes against Democrat George S. McGovern, who got only 17 electoral votes.

1964: Democrat Lyndon B. Johnson got 486 electoral votes against Republican Barry M. Goldwater, who got only 52 electoral votes.

1956: Republican Dwight D. Eisenhower got 457 electoral votes against Democrat Adlai Stevenson, who got only 73 electoral votes.

1952: Eisenhower got 442 electoral votes against Stevenson, who got only 89 electoral votes.

1944: Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt got 432 electoral votes against Republican Thomas E. Dewey, who got only 99 electoral votes.

1940: Roosevelt got 449 electoral votes against Republican Wendell L. Wilkie, who got only 82 electoral votes.

1936: Roosevelt got 523 electoral votes against Republican Alfred M. Landon, who got only 8 electoral votes.

1932: Roosevelt got 472 electoral votes against Republican Herbert C. Hoover, who got only 59 electoral votes.

1928: Republican Herbert C. Hoover got 444 electoral votes against Democrat Alfred E. Smith, who got only 87 electoral votes.

1924: Republican Calvin Coolidge got 382 electoral votes against Democrat John W. Davis, who got only 136 electoral votes.

1920: Republican Warren G. Harding got 404 electoral votes against Democrat James M. Cox, who got only 127 electoral votes.

1912: Democrat Woodrow Wilson got 435 electoral votes against Progressive Theodore Roosevelt, who got only 88 electoral votes.

Re: It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 2:09 am
by Scooter
If that's your definition, then there is a wide chasm between a landslide and a close race. You either need to introduce intermediate choices or redefine your terms.

It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 2:39 am
by RayThom
Yes, better parameters are needed. A really big possibility is that Drumpf will spontaneously combust due to his own hot gasses and is forced to spend the last few months of the campaign as an in-patient in the rubber room at the Bellvue Grand Hotel rocking back-and-forth in his own feces.

"This place is youuuuuge. And the doctors and even the female nurses are wonderful and amazing medical persons, the best."

Re: It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 11:25 am
by wesw
don t let some Canadian (italics) tell you what to do, Joe

be as obtuse as you wanna be...

"anyone who chooses temporary clarity over essential obtuosity is deserving of neither clarity nor confusion."

frank Benjamin

Re: It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 11:40 am
by Lord Jim
Anyone care to guess who chose "Trump wins in a landslide"?

I'll bet it was probably Guin... :mrgreen:

Re: It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 1:00 pm
by Lord Jim
Scooter wrote:What constitutes a landslide, because normally that means 400+ electoral votes.
That is the generally accepted definition, and the one I've always used.

While I chose "Clinton wins in a landslide" I think Long Run really nailed it earlier. If Trump manages to control himself, (and the early evidence since he's been trying to indicates that he won't be successful) Hillary's high negatives and deep personal unpopularity could make it a much closer race.

Re: It's Prediction Time

Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2016 1:03 pm
by Scooter
Lord Jim wrote:Anyone care to guess who chose "Trump wins in a landslide"?

I'll bet it was probably Guin... :mrgreen:
It was me. I keep saying that those of us looking from the outside in are hoping we will have a continuing source of entertainment come November.