Well, the Russians have been in violation of this treaty for sometime:
Concern about the treaty’s future arose in 2014, when the Obama administration charged Russia with violating the treaty by testing a prohibited ground-launched cruise missile of intermediate range. Trump administration officials in 2017 charged that Russia had begun deploying the missile, known as the 9M729.
The Obama administration and, at least initially, the Trump administration set the goal of bringing Russia back into compliance. In December 2017, Washington announced an “integrated strategy” to press Moscow to return to compliance.
So far, the strategy does not seem to have worked.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-fr ... nf-treaty/
If we had a responsible President, (which obviously we do not) this could be seen as an acceptable tactic to try get the Russians to negociate seriously about moving back into verifiable compliance. Under the terms of the treaty, six months notice is required to formally withdraw from the treaty (Trump's announcement started that clock running) and then there would be another fairly long timeline before realistically any type of new generation intermediate nukes could be deployed, so there's plenty of time to reach some sort of agreement.
A responsible President would also have taken this move in consultation with our European allies, (who after all are the ones directly affected, and on whose soil any new offensive or defensive systems would be deployed) not just announce the decision unilaterally on a Saturday afternoon....
But with
this President, there is absolutely no reason to believe that this decision was driven by any sort of concern for Western strategic security concerns. First, Trump has been indifferent and dismissive about Western European security in general, so it would seem odd that he would suddenly start caring about it. And of course he has also shown zero appetite for confronting Vladimir Putin over
anything, so that also undermines the motivation and sincerity of this sudden decision...
No, with
this President, this looks nothing like a well thought out strategic move to enhance US and European security. It looks, walks, and quacks
exactly like a classic Trump shiny object diversion move, designed to try to deflect attention from the scandal currently dominating the news cycle; the Khashoggi murder...