2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Arizona has moved back to Biden's column.

Biden 406
Trump 132

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

A one point lead in the latest poll moves Ohio to Trump.

Biden 388
Trump 150

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

A series of recent polls combine to make Georgia a tie.

Biden 372
Trump 150
Ties 16

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Pulse Opinion Research, which has Trump ahead by a point in North Carolina, is Scott Rasmussen's old firm, so grain of salt. PPP, which is based in NC, had Biden ahead by two in a poll just outside the current window.

Biden 357
Trump 165
Ties 16

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

A new Georgia polls puts Biden slightly ahead. There is going to be a shitload of money spent in that very expensive media market.

Biden 373
Trump 165

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Texas flips pretty solidly back to Trump.

Biden 335
Trump 203

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Latest Ohio poll is a tie.

Biden 335
Trump 185
Ties 18

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Biden leads in Texas and North Carolina by a point.

Biden 388
Trump 132
Ties 18

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Tight polls in opposite directions make Texas and North Carolina ties, while Ohio moves from a tie to Trump.

Biden 335
Trump 150
Ties 53

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

And NC moves back to Biden.

Biden 350
Trump 150
Ties 38

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Trump takes a one point lead in Texas. When was the last time Texas was actually in play, like 1976?

Biden 350
Trump 188

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

North Carolina is now an exact tie.

Biden 353
Trump 170
Ties 15

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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

A new poll has Trump leading in North Carolina by a point.

Biden 353
Trump 185

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ex-khobar Andy
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by ex-khobar Andy »

Thanks for keeping this up, Scooter. And the Senate thread.
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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

North Carolina swings back to Biden.

Biden 368
Trump 170

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Bicycle Bill
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Bicycle Bill »

This is all very well and good, but the polls in 2016 said, right up until Election Day, that Trump couldn't win.

Personally, I'd be much happier if the map would end up looking more like this:

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-"BB"-
Yes, I suppose I could agree with you ... but then we'd both be wrong, wouldn't we?
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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

The polls in 2016 never said that Trump couldn't win. Nor are the polls saying that now.
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BoSoxGal
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by BoSoxGal »

Bicycle Bill wrote: ↑
Wed Sep 16, 2020 1:21 pm
 This is all very well and good, but the polls in 2016 said, right up until Election Day, that Trump couldn't win.

Personally, I'd be much happier if the map would end up looking more like this:

Image
Image
-"BB"-
That’s what national unity looks like after a young popular president is assassinated and the people crave stability.

Not likely to see it again - unless the voting machines get hacked.
For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring.
~ Carl Sagan
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ex-khobar Andy
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by ex-khobar Andy »

You can see the 2016 polls here. Not happy reading.
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Scooter
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

Post by Scooter »

Lots of battleground state polls today, and Trump's only lead is in Ohio, which moves back to his column.

Biden 350
Trump 188

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