2020 Presidential Polls and Projections

[Crackpot]

I think Marge N. Overa wants some words with you

[ex-khobar Andy]

To put that in perspective, Trump needs 90 votes to flip from Scooter's latest chart. All the states noted as D leaning (blue outline) amount to 99 votes so yes, if Trump wins them all, he gets in and we all move to Canada. (Hope you've got a big apartment, Scooter. Toronto is nice at this time of year. Go Leafs!) Biden needs to win just one of those states, or two if one of them is Iowa, and he wins.

[Scooter]

You can see each candidate's path to victory through the tipping point chart, which is updated daily based on the latest polls.

[Crackpot]

There were some trump supporters sitting in front of the supermarket warning of the coming coup

[Econoline]

Their own coup, or the imaginary coup that they're stockpiling guns & ammo to fight?

[Crackpot]

My guess the very real one also known as “voting”

[Scooter]

Lots of new polls that are mainly good news for Biden. A Fox News poll puts Trump ahead by three in Ohio, while a Quinnipiac poll has the candidates tied in Texas.

Biden 340
Trump 160
Ties 38

[Scooter]

LOTS of new polls. The Morning Consult poll that pulls Biden ahead in Texas was of course taken before his remarks about the future of the oil industry, so we'll see if his slight lead can hold. Georgia becomes a tie.

Biden 378
Trump 144
Ties 16

[Scooter]

Comparing with some other poll aggregating sites:

The Real Clear Politics Electoral Map with no toss up states shows Biden at 357 and Trump at 181, the differences being that they award Texas to Trump and Georgia and NE2* to Biden.

The 270 To Win Presidential Election Map shows Biden 290, Trump 163, Toss ups 85, the differences being showing Texas for Trump, NE2* for Biden, and Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida and ME2* as toss ups.






* the Electoral-Vote.com model allocates all EVs by statewide polling and does not account for the allocation of EVs by congressional district in Nebraska and Maine

[Scooter]

Texas moves to Trump and Georgia moves to a tie.

Biden 340
Trump 182
Ties 16

[wesw]

gosh...., let me correct the above map....

east coast...

trump wins newhampshire, all of maine, Delaware, north Carolina Georgia and florida

great lakes...

trump wins Pa, MICHIGAN , MINNESOTA, Wisconsin. and drop down to Iowa as well, easily in Iowa

he takes texas and maybe, just maybe runs the table with NM, AR, NV, and Colorado....

I have to say Oregon might go tto him as well...

longshots include CA, NY, and MA

the view in the above map is just silly

if you saw what was actually happening with the American public, you would see how silly it is

I jusy hope that we have a record turnout of black men

we didn t need fifty cent, or, ice cube or Kanye, to convince black men, but hell, we ll take em

the friggin hustlers even like trump

outlaws like trump, even as hee praises the police

this is a patriotic revolution you are watching

and to top it off, Hollywood is done.

caput, finite la musica, sayonara , the fat lady has sung

and pro sports got woke and went broke

fuck them and their influence, it is gone.

landslide.

[BoSoxGal]

If you’re right, I’ll either be killing myself in November or finding some way to leave this shithole country - because if it does go landslide for Trump, it’s a fucking shithole and I don’t want to be in it anymore.

[wesw]

don t even think that bsg

we aren t Nazis, and tho there are racists who support trump, there are no more of them than there are blacck racists who hate us

you will be fine

no one hates you

you are smart not to dismiss my admittedly optimistic predictions

you are here you see the parades and rallies and signs and enthusiasm

you aren t dumb or in another country

you are informed

did you see trumps little appearance at the maine farmstand yesterday?

good people were there, up closen and trump was right there with them

it was his fourth or fifth appearance yesterday, plus the swearing in last night

he saw hundreds of thousands of people yesterday and swore in barret and it was barely covered, even c-span isn t carrying rallies now

hang in there sunshine

joe biden foresees a "dark winter", google that if you want to be scared...…

it s ok...., you matter....hope.

[BoSoxGal]

Barely covered? What fucking channels do you watch? My ‘liberal’ media sources - CNN, MSNBC, PBS, NPR, The Guardian, The Independent, WashPo - are covering ALL his campaigning bullshit. A covid19 superspreading champion, your candidate is!

[wesw]

live free or die.

we are not scared.

we don t see the sick people.

it is real, corona, we know that.

but where are the sick people?

I am suree that I had it last year, January.

every one in delawwaree got sick last year, no one is getting sick now.

it hurt me bad, took a while to recover

the couple of nights when I was scared to sleep causee my chest hurt were scary.

I only have one lung and it is bad.

but we are not scared

old people die.

sad but true

and where is the flu?

did covid kill it...

live free or die, bsg,

the cure can t be worse than the disease.

hey, if half of us kick the bucket the rest of us get more pie!!!!!

[Sue U]

This is why we can't have nice things.

[wesw]

if you say so, comrade.

Antifa won the election..., for trump

we are not afraid.


sincerely
john paul jones

[wesw]

this has been fun, guys

but the rain is gone and the lawn won t mow itself

catch you later, alligator

[BoSoxGal]

Please go mow your lawn - forever.

[Econoline]

I took wes off "ignore" for a couple of days because I was curious about his new flurry of activity here. I see now that that was a mistake. Back he goes, back to the "foes".

If he posts anything remotely interesting, I hope someone here will quote that (hypothetical) post in a response. Buh-bye again, wes.