Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

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dales
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Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by dales »

We have record high unemployment, stagnant job growth, and inflation............what's NOT to like? :ok

That's pricey: 13 items that cost more, or will soon

By Dave Carpenter


Four dollar gasoline is just a part of it. As most any shopper knows, prices are climbing for everything from coffee and chocolate to tires and toilet paper.

Paul Sakuma, AP


The Consumer Price Index has climbed 2.7% in the past 12 months, according to government statistics released Friday. That’s the largest rise since 2009.

Price increases will continue in the months ahead as companies pass along the higher costs of raw materials, transportation and other expenses.

“When prices at the pump rise and wages don’t, already strained budgets show the pain,” says Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial in Chicago.

This creeping inflation doesn’t yet alarm most economists, who don’t expect high inflation in the near future. That’s because many businesses are still wary about boosting prices when workers are getting meager raises, if any, and unemployment remains near 9%.

But even modest increases can pack a wallop with consumers in a tenuous financial position, says Scott Hoyt, senior director of consumer economics at Moody’s Analytics. “The increases in prices are going to be felt more severely now than if we were in a stronger economic environment.”

Consumer price index
Here is a snapshot of some areas where prices are rising. More hints of what’s in store will come as corporations report quarterly earnings over the next several weeks.

AIRFARES

Airlines have been raising ticket prices steadily to pass on the expense of higher fuel costs. Domestic round-trip fares were boosted a half dozen times this year by $4 to $10 each. Over the six months that ended in February, fares jumped 22%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ index.

CHOCOLATE

Hershey’s raised its wholesale prices nearly 10% in late March. Consumers may not feel the pinch until after the big Easter season, because many retailers will be able to make purchases at the old prices for about eight weeks.

COFFEE

Coffee prices jumped 27% between December and March as companies passed along their record cost of unroasted beans. Starbucks boosted the prices it charges retailers for packaged coffee up to 12% — its first increase in three years. J.M. Smucker, which sells Folgers and Dunkin’ Donuts brands, has raised prices several times during the past year. Sara Lee, Kraft Foods and Green Mountain Coffee Roasters also have hiked prices.

FAST FOOD

Paying more for burgers? You will soon if you aren’t already. McDonald’s, like many of its peers, is dealing with higher ingredient costs and expects to raise U.S. prices this year. Rival Wendy’s/Arby’s is expected to raise prices later this year because of what it says will be 15% higher beef costs.

FRUITS AND VEGETABLES

Even adjusting for seasonal factors, the cost of fruits and vegetables has risen 23% in three months, including bananas up 10% and potatoes up 39%.

FURNITURE

Furniture manufacturers such as Ethan Allen and La-Z-Boy are increasing prices up to 7% due to higher costs of cotton, yarn, leather and steel.

GASOLINE

$5 gas, anyone? Not yet, but it may be coming. Gasoline prices leaped 6% last month and have risen 28% in the past year. Consumers paid an average price of $3.81 a gallon nationwide on Friday, according to the travel group AAA.

HOUSEHOLD PRODUCTS

Diapers, soap, toilet paper, toothpaste, trash bags and many other everyday items all have been targeted for price hikes as companies from Kimberly-Clark to Procter & Gamble to Colgate-Palmolive respond to rising ingredient costs.

INSURANCE

State Farm and Allstate, the nation’s two biggest home and auto insurers, are pursuing further price hikes. State Farm just pushed through an average rate hike of 18.8% for Florida homeowners and is seeking double-digit rate hikes in select other states. Allstate has been raising its auto insurance rates in numerous states. It’s also aiming to impose more homeowners’ increases after already raising rates an average of 7% in 10 states in the fourth quarter of 2010 — citing a need to make up for the surge in weather-related losses.

JUICE

Tropicana, owned by PepsiCo, said last month it’s raising prices on some of its juices 4% to 8% to cope with higher costs due to cold weather damage of Florida citrus crops. That means shoppers are paying more for Tropicana and Dole fruit juices.

Coca-Cola already had increased prices this year for its Minute Maid and Simply brands in the U.S. 4% to 8% to cope with higher costs for commodities, fuel, packaging and fruit.

PACKAGED FOODS

Rising prices for corn, wheat and many other ingredients, along with fuel, have led to higher prices for packaged goods. Among those announcing price hikes: B&G Foods, maker of fruit spread, canned goods and sauces; ConAgra Foods, whose brands include Banquet, Chef Boyardee, Healthy Choice and Peter Pan; General Mills, maker of Nature Valley snack bars and Cheerios cereal; H.J. Heinz, world’s largest ketchup maker; Kellogg, which makes Frosted Flakes, Pop Tarts and other foods; spice maker McCormick; and Sara Lee, the maker of frozen desserts, Hillshire Farms lunchmeat and Senseo coffee.

Safeway, Supervalu and other supermarkets are passing the higher costs along to customers.

SOFT DRINKS

Big beverage makers are hiking prices because of higher costs for packaging, ingredients and transportation. The price of carbonated drinks was up 14% from December to March.

TIRES

U.S. tire prices climbed 6% in the six months ended in March. Cooper Tire & Rubber boosted prices 8% to 9% last month — its second increase this year. At the time of the announcement the company said natural rubber prices had increased more than 75% in a matter of months.

Copyright 2011 The Associated Press.

Your collective inability to acknowledge this obvious truth makes you all look like fools.


yrs,
rubato

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Crackpot
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by Crackpot »

Actually there's been 4 straight quarters of job growth
Okay... There's all kinds of things wrong with what you just said.

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loCAtek
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by loCAtek »

So glad, I don't have or need a car.

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Gob
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by Gob »

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d6c97342-69bd ... z1Jw72dIOO


Standard & Poor’s issued a stark warning to Washington on Monday, cutting its outlook on US sovereign debt for the first time and throwing more fuel on the raging debate over America’s swollen deficits.

The agency kept America’s credit rating at triple A but for the first time since it started rating US debt 70 years ago, cut its outlook from “stable” to “negative”. A negative outlook means there is a one-third chance of a downgrade in the next two years.

Doubts about US creditworthiness could threaten the dollar’s use as a global reserve currency amid the rise of rivals such as China that have better growth prospects and fewer fiscal challenges.

“This, at its core, is questioning what was an unquestionable tenet of the financial markets,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at New York broker-dealer Janney Montgomery Scott. He said the chance of a downgrade represents “a higher risk level for the Treasury market than at any point in the memorable past”.

The outlook cut highlights the damage to US creditworthiness from a decade of unfunded tax cuts and spending increases followed by massive fiscal stimulus during the recession.

The US will have a deficit of 10.8 per cent of gross domestic product during 2011, according to the International Monetary Fund, and net government debt will exceed 70 per cent of GDP
“If you trust in yourself, and believe in your dreams, and follow your star. . . you'll still get beaten by people who spent their time working hard and learning things and weren't so lazy.”

rubato
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by rubato »

The 'spiking' high inflation of the 1970's began before and was not due to Carter. Carter did 'kill' inflation by appointing Paul Volcker to the Fed. Greenspan acknowledges in his book that Volcker was the person who whipped inflation.


http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/pdf_fi ... lation.pdf


No one currently predicts that kind of inflation again although some commodities, like oil, might go up. Recall that Carter's deregulation of oil in the short term caused prices to rise but then created two decades when oil was so cheap that people didn't care about fuel economy and bought 6,000lb 4WDs to haul 10 lbs of groceries home with.



yrs,
rubato

rubato
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by rubato »

The greater problem is that BushCo borrowed $290 Billion/ year to give tax breaks to the rich. A tactic which caused 10 years of stagnation in wages, 10 years of stagnation in growth, and added trillions to the debt.


Even though all of the effects of this policy have been bad the Republican party wants to continue the experiment in making the rich richer and the poor poorer. Their latest budget proposal is to contiue to borrow $300 Billion to give to the rich and make it up by cutting Medicare and Medicaid.


yrs,
rubato

dgs49
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by dgs49 »

It's remarkable that they allow this guy to use the computer at the Looney Bin.

quaddriver
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by quaddriver »

Crackpot wrote:Actually there's been 4 straight quarters of job growth

Yes 5 is growth. But when the number it is measured against is 5000000000000000. How much growth is that?

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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by quaddriver »

rubato wrote:The 'spiking' high inflation of the 1970's began before and was not due to Carter. Carter did 'kill' inflation by appointing Paul Volcker to the Fed. Greenspan acknowledges in his book that Volcker was the person who whipped inflation.


http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/pdf_fi ... lation.pdf


No one currently predicts that kind of inflation again although some commodities, like oil, might go up. Recall that Carter's deregulation of oil in the short term caused prices to rise but then created two decades when oil was so cheap that people didn't care about fuel economy and bought 6,000lb 4WDs to haul 10 lbs of groceries home with.



yrs,
rubato
Oh good. rubinomics. we are all saved....

oldr_n_wsr
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by oldr_n_wsr »

And McDonalds was trying to hire 50,000 workers country wide on tuesday. Too bad the pay is for less than my unemployment check.

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The Hen
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by The Hen »

That is appalling!

Unless the job is only a part- time job, I have yet to hear of any employment opportunity that would pay less than the dole.
Bah!

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oldr_n_wsr
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by oldr_n_wsr »

I get the max "dole" allowed under the law which works out to me getting less per week than I used to make in a day. Minimum wage is $7.25 an hour and my unemployment payout I would have to make over $10 an hour just to break even. IT's doubtful that $10/hr jobs pay benefits, which would change the picture considerably as I pay upwards of $1300 a month to continue my health coverage from my previous employer. From what I read the McD's pay for jobs around here on long island were averaging $9/hr.

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The Hen
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by The Hen »

Shit eh. The following is from Fair Work Australia:
From the first full pay period on or after 1 July 2010 the national minimum wage is $569.90 per week (before tax), or $15 per hour (as rounded to the nearest 10 cents). Before the first full pay period on or after 1 July 2010, employees covered by the national minimum wage were entitled to be paid at least the previous federal minimum wage rate of $543.78 per week or $14.31 per hour (before tax).
And here is the absolute minimum you can expect when unemployed. Note other allowances are also available.
Payment amounts per fortnight
If you are single, no children $474.90
single, with a dependent child or children $513.80
single, aged 60 or over, after 9 continuous months on payment $513.80
partnered (each) $428.70
single principal carer granted exemption for foster caring/relative (non-parent) caring under a court order/home schooling/distance education/large family $625.90
Bah!

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oldr_n_wsr
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by oldr_n_wsr »

New Jersey's rate is higher, somewhere around $550 a week.

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The Hen
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by The Hen »

I'm glad to hear it.

as mentioned before, that was the base rate. You would also potentially be able to get additional payments in the following areas:
Education Entry Payment
Health Care Card or Pension Concession Card
Language, Literacy and Numeracy Program
Pensioner Education Supplement
Pharmaceutical Allowance
Remote Area Allowance
Rent Assistance
Telephone Allowance
Training Supplement
Work for the Dole
But in any case, they certainly don't make it comfortable for bludgers.
Bah!

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oldr_n_wsr
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by oldr_n_wsr »

Yeah, too bad I am in New York and not in New Jersey.
:shrug

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The Hen
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by The Hen »

Bugger.
Bah!

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oldr_n_wsr
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by oldr_n_wsr »

These would be nice though.
Health Care Card
Pharmaceutical Allowance
As you can see, most of my unemployment payments go right toward health care costs. Been having some problems with my prostate so this is no time for me not to have health care. getting a byopsi on May 6. Oh joy And my blood pressures been a little high 135/85 when I have been pretty consistant at around 120/70 going to the doctor for that on May 9 I still have to schedule my colonoscopy. :shrug
Last edited by oldr_n_wsr on Thu Apr 21, 2011 10:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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The Hen
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by The Hen »

I'm sorry to hear that.

:(
Bah!

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oldr_n_wsr
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Re: Carter Redux - Or It's The Crappy 1970's Return

Post by oldr_n_wsr »

Thanks, getting old sucks.
The doc says I have a 28% chance of having prostate cancer according to my health profile. Better we find out sooner rather than later. PRevious PSA tests have been similar (around 3.5, only this year have they gone up. Two tests were in the 5+ range and 1 was 3.8 so he wants to do the byopsi to make a better diagnosis.

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