Plan B Forum

For once I wanted to beat LJ to the punch, so here it is: Plan B's official 2012 U.S. Presidential election thread.

The nominees are all but crowned; who will take the ultimate prize?

Are you willing to predict today which way your state will go?

Debate amongst yourselves . . .

bigskygal wrote: Are you willing to predict today which way your state will go?

What about us foreigners?

Feel free to predict our states, if you like. You may be more informed than most U.S. voters.

In any case, you can certainly voice any and all opinions about who you think would best impact your wee insignificant nation as Leader of the Free World.

What about us foreigners?

There are many jurisdictions where you could vote, no problem....

THEY BOTH STINK!



Third party (as usual) this November.

You've found a third party that's not just as shitty (or worse) as the big ones?

This will be no surprise, but the great state of California, Lord Jim notwithstanding, will choose Obama by majority vote.

However, our vote has never mattered, so who really cares?

Crackpot wrote:You've found a third party that's not just as shitty (or worse) as the big ones?

Yes, I have.............................................................................................................................NOTA.

I'd say it must be Obama by a landslide, certainly in the EC. Ohio will be his. Mutt might manage 34%. I've already filled in my absentee ballot request - politicians may tremble!

Could any sane person vote a man who wears magical underpants for president?

Good point, gobster.

Now can we get back to the Mormon's opponent, who voluntarily chose to sit in church every Sunday for more than 20 years listening to one of the most hateful race baiters on the planet. Who chose that race-baiting bigot to marry him and "educate" his children in their most formative years?

In a choice between magic underwear and an ardent, lifetime follower of a hateful, race-baiting phony, I think I'll go with the magic underwear.

I predict that my own state of Pennsylvania will go for Romney, by a razor-thin margin.

It is far far too early to predict who is going to win this election, given all the things that could break either way, and how close the outcome is likely to be, barring something truly unforseen....

I suppose you'd have to give a slight advantage to Obama's chances just based on the power of incumbency, and the fact that he holds slight leads in most of the battle ground states...

Though the fact that he isn't in better shape, given the lead he has with some important demographics, and all the negative focus on Romney as the result of a really ugly nomination fight that's just concluded, ought to have Team Obama very concerned....

The one prediction I am prepared to make is that this election is almost certain to be much closer than the last one, no matter who wins. I'll be very surprised if the winner of this election gets much more than 300 electoral votes, if that.

I think that we're going to be looking at an outcome in terms of closeness along the lines of 2004.

It starts out 47-47, and it all comes down to who can persuade the largest percentage of the remaining 6 per cent.....

I'm quite comfortable predicting where Massachusetts will end up --- and its not for Romney. I'll even go out on a limb and say that New Hampshire will stay blue, as will Maine, Vermont, and Rhode Island.

I think this does end up being about the same margins as last time. Mittens isn't going to win more hearts and minds over the next 7 months.

Guin, you really see Barak Obama winning by as big a margin as he did in 2008? His own political team doesn't see that happening.

I don't see any scenario (short of Romney getting arrested in an airport men's room) under which that happens. That election was a perfect storm for a Democratic challenger. The dynamics of this one are going to be entirely different.

Yep -- and not because Obama is all that wonderful, but because Romney just won't be able to cut it. The man carries more baggage than Obama, and in far more expensive bags

Eh, too early to put any money on the ultimate outcome, but it's obvious that Master Willardforth Mittington Rmoneybot has an uphill climb. I'll vote against him, as will the rest of my state. While the GOP primaries were a hilarious freak show, I just don't know if I can stand listening to another six months of campaigning.

OK, thinking quickly through the states that might swing back the other way -- Virginia and North Carolina, maybe Colorado -- maybe it will be closer, but it won't be close.

Cheers Guin; glad to see you back.

I hope so much you are right; I have worry in my DNA and won't rest easy until Nov. 5th.

As for Montana; it will be interesting to see what happens, as I think religion might be an issue re: Romney. Y'all saw Governor Schweitzer on the news on the polygamy issue; I'm not endorsing that he went there, but I think it reveals what may be a widespread skeeviness amongst conservative Lutheran ranchers about magic underwear.

Montana has been purple in recent years, and Obama's first campaign made a concerted effort to earn the Native and youth vote here to great success. We still went for McCain, but after the weirdness in our legislature following the last election geared toward tea party types, there could be a liberal backlash in the fall.

I suppose the safe bet is to predict for Mitt, but I hold out hope.

The election is Obama's to lose:





Why anyone would vote for the party that caused the worst financial decade in 70 years and the worst recession in 80 years is beyond me. Since they have promised to repeat all of their mistakes.




yrs,
rubato

My guess is NJ will go for Obama, unless Christy get the VP nomination in which case it's anyone's guess. But my prediction is turnout will be very low in most states, I can't see voting for either of these guys--I really can't take Roney and Obama has proven to be such a disappointment that pulling the lever for him will be very difficult (christy getting the VP nomination (which i don't think will happen) might make it a bit easier, but I still don't think so). I'm pretty disgusted by the "choice" presented.