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The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Fri Jul 20, 2012 12:45 pm
by Lord Jim
Syrian borders in rebel hands, battles in Damascus

AMMAN/CILVEGOZU, Turkey (Reuters) - Rebels seized control of sections of Syria's international borders and torched the main police headquarters in the heart of old Damascus, advancing relentlessly after the assassination of President Bashar al-Assad's closest lieutenants.

The battle for parts of the capital raged into the early hours of Friday, with corpses piled in the streets. In some neighborhoods, residents said there were signs the government's presence was diminishing.

Officials in neighboring Iraq confirmed that Syrian rebels were now in control of the Syrian side of the main Abu Kamal border checkpoint on the Euphrates River highway, one of the major trade routes across the Middle East.

Rebels also claimed control of at least two border crossings into Turkey at Bab al-Hawa and Jarablus, in what appeared to have been a coordinated campaign to seize Syria's frontiers.

In Damascus, a witness in the central old quarter district of Qanawat said the huge headquarters of the Damascus Province Police was black with smoke and abandoned after being torched and looted in a rebel attack.

"Three patrol cars came to the site and were hit by roadside bombs," said activist Abu Rateb by telephone. "I saw three bodies in one car. Others said dozens of security men and shabbiha (pro-Assad militia) lay dead or wounded along Khaled bin al-Walid street, before ambulances took them away."

The next few days will be critical in determining whether Assad's government can recover from the devastating blow of Wednesday's bombing, which wiped out much of Assad's command structure and destroyed his circle's aura of invulnerability.

Assad's powerful brother-in-law, his defense minister and a top general were killed in Wednesday's attack. The head of intelligence and the interior minister were wounded.

Government forces have responded by blasting at rebels in their own capital with helicopter gunships and artillery stationed in the mountains overlooking it.

Assad's failure to appear in public for more than 24 hours - he was finally shown on television on Thursday swearing in a replacement for his slain defense minister - added to the sense of his power evaporating. His whereabouts are not clear.

Diplomatic efforts - rapidly overtaken by events on the ground - collapsed in disarray on Thursday when Russia and China vetoed a U.N. Security Council resolution that would have imposed sanctions unless Syrian authorities halted violence. Washington said the council had "failed utterly."

Activists in Damascus said rebels were now in control of the capital's northern Barzeh district, where troops and armored vehicles had pulled out.

The army had also pulled out of the towns of Tel and Dumair north of Damascus after taking heavy losses, they said. But they said troops were hitting the western district of Mezzeh with heavy machineguns and anti-aircraft guns overnight.

The reports could not be confirmed. The Syrian government restricts access by international journalists.

A resident who toured much of Damascus late on Thursday said he saw signs the government's presence was diminishing, with only sporadic checkpoints and tanks in place in some areas. The Interior Ministry at the main Marjeh Square had a fraction of its usual contingent of guards still in place.

Shelling could be heard on the southwestern suburb of Mouadamiyeh from hills overlooking the city where the Fourth Division, commanded by Assad's brother Maher, is based, he said.

Syrian television showed the bodies of about 20 men in T-shirts and jeans with weapons lying at their sides, sprawled across a road in the capital's Qaboun district. It described them as terrorists killed in battle.

COORDINATION

The operations to seize the border checkpoints appear to show a level of coordination and effectiveness hitherto unseen from the rebels, who have been outgunned and outnumbered by the army throughout the 16-month conflict.

Footage filmed by rebels at the Bab al-Hawa border crossing with Turkey showed them climbing onto rooftops and tearing up a poster of Assad.

"The crossing is under our control. They withdrew their armored vehicles," said a rebel fighter who would only be identified as Ali, being treated for wounds on the Turkish side.

Two officers in the rebel Free Syrian Army said fighters were keeping themselves busy into the early hours of Friday, dismantling border computer systems, seizing security records and emptying the shelves of the duty-free shop.

At least 30 government tanks in the area had not mobilized to try to recapture the border post, according to Ahmad Zaidan, a senior Free Syrian Army commander.

Officials in neighboring Lebanon said refugees were pouring across the frontier: a security source said 20,000 Syrians had crossed on Thursday.

UTTER FAILURE

Diplomacy has been largely ineffective throughout the crisis, with Western countries condemning Assad but showing no stomach for the sort of robust intervention that saw NATO bombers help blast Libya's Muammar Gaddafi from power last year.

Thursday's failed U.N. Security Council resolution, which would have extended a small, unarmed U.N. monitoring mission, was the third that has been vetoed by Russia and China.

With the mandate for the mission set to expire at 0400 GMT on Saturday, Western states that pushed the resolution to renew the operation under a threat of sanctions against Damascus reacted angrily to the vetoes.

The U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, Susan Rice, said the Security Council had "failed utterly", and Washington would look outside the body for ways "to bring pressure to bear on the Assad regime and to deliver assistance to those in need."

The Security Council was set for another showdown on Friday over new rival resolutions intended to simply extend the mission. Pakistan, with the support of Russia, is proposing a 45-day extension, while Britain has put forward a 30-day extension.
http://news.yahoo.com/syrian-borders-re ... 02669.html

We should gladly let this UN "monitoring mission" expire; it's a pathetic joke, it's time to let the rebels roll on and settle this decisively. They've earned it.

It appears that the assassination of some of Assad's top butchers may have triggered a general unraveling that could bring this to an end more swiftly than was previously thought. The rebel forces have also obviously become much more disciplined, better organized, and better equipped in recent months.

I sincerely hope that the US and other Western powers have been helping these people to a far greater extent than we have been willing to admit. If we haven't, we are going to have very little good will or leverage with them once they topple Assad, which now looks as though it could happen sooner rather than later.

I don't think Assad is the type to go out in a blaze of glory, especially now with the people who have provided the backbone for his iron fist policy removed from the board. He's not a revolutionary like Khaddafy; he's a spoiled brat western educated second generation thug, who is probably even now trying to figure out some way to skedaddle.

Re: The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Fri Jul 20, 2012 3:41 pm
by dales
Our dear friends the ruskies will not let ASShad fall from power.

Hungry 1956 or Czechoslavakia 1968, anyone?

Re: The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Fri Jul 20, 2012 10:34 pm
by Lord Jim
I thought about that possibility Dale, but I really don't think it's on the cards...

As much as they have tried to prop him up militarily, and protect him diplomatically, they seem to be hedging their bets...

Several weeks ago they dispatched about 500 troops to Syria and additional naval lift capability to put in place what is clearly a force designed to evacuate the substantial civilian Russian community there, should worse come to worse...(as it clearly is...the Putin regime knows that given its behavior in this, that when Assad falls, their people could easily become targets)

An intervention capable of propping up Assad at this point would require the rapid deployment of at least 50,000 troops, and there's no indication this is in the offing...

And even at that, (and given the rapidly deteriorating situation on the ground, they'd have to act pretty much at once) probably the best they could do at this point is make Assad the mayor of Damascus....not to mention the enormous damage that moving in like that to save such a widely despised figure would do to them in other countries throughout the region....

(I've thought the Iranians also might try something like this, but they'd face the same problems without anywhere near the capabilities)

Assad started out with a huge, highly developed security apparatus, and a well equipped well trained military of 200,000...

And now, because of his ham-handed thuggery, that apparatus is being routed, and his army is disintegrating....

If he couldn't put this down with all those advantages, I doubt anyone else is going to be keen to try....

Re: The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 10:55 pm
by Lord Jim
This is an odd threat:
Syria says could use chemical arms against foreigners

BEIRUT (Reuters) - Western states expressed alarm after Syria acknowledged for the first time that it has chemical and biological weapons and said it could use them if foreign countries intervene.

A week of unprecedented fighting inside the capital Damascus, including a bomb attack that killed four of President Bashar al-Assad's closest advisers, has transformed the 16-month uprising and dramatically escalated international pressure on Assad.

Damascus residents said the capital was relatively quiet in the early hours of Tuesday after a day of fighting that saw government troops storm a neighborhood.

Defying Arab foreign ministers who on Sunday offered Assad a "safe exit" if he stepped down, the Syrian leader has launched fierce counter-offensives, reflecting his determination to keep power as the uprising enters its most violent phase.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Jihad Makdissi said the army would not use chemical weapons to crush rebels but could use them against forces from outside the country.

"Any chemical or bacterial weapons will never be used ... during the crisis in Syria regardless of the developments," Makdissi said. "These weapons are stored and secured by Syrian military forces and under its direct supervision and will never be used unless Syria faces external aggression."

Damascus has not signed a 1992 international convention that bans the use, production or stockpiling of chemical weapons, but officials in the past had denied it had any stockpiles. Washington and other Western capitals rushed to warn Syria against making any threats to use such weapons.

"Given the escalation of violence in Syria, and the regime's increasing attacks on their people, we remain very concerned about these weapons," White House spokesman Tommy Vietor said.

A U.S. State Department spokeswoman said warnings against using chemical weapons extended not only to the Syrian government but to rebels and any militants who might try to obtain them.

"The warnings that we have given with regard to safeguarding this kind of absolutely horrific and dangerous weapon have been made to regime, to opposition, to anybody who might get their hands on them," she said.

Britain, Germany and other countries also said it was unacceptable for Syria to say it might use chemical arms. U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said he was very concerned Syria may be tempted to use unconventional weapons.

Western countries and Israel have expressed fears chemical weapons could fall into the hands of militant groups as Assad's authority erodes. Israel has publicly discussed military action to prevent Syrian chemical weapons or missiles from reaching Assad's Lebanese Shi'ite militant allies Hezbollah.

The Global Security website, which collects published intelligence reports and other data, says there are four suspected chemical weapons sites in Syria: north of Damascus, near Homs, in Hama and near the Mediterranean port of Latakia. Weapons it produces include the nerve agents VX, sarin and tabun, it said, without citing its sources.

Abdelbasset Seida, head of the Syrian National Council opposition group, said: "A regime that massacres children and rapes women could use these types of weapons.

"The technical infrastructure may not be suitable, but as I said, such a step could be expected from this murderous regime. The international community must prevent this," he told reporters after meeting Turkey's foreign minister in Ankara.

Arab League ministers meeting in Doha urged the opposition and the rebel Free Syrian Army to form a transitional government, Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim al-Thani told a news conference.

Makdissi rejected the call for Assad to step down as a "flagrant intervention" in Syria's internal affairs. "We regret that the Arab League stooped to this immoral level," he said.

http://news.yahoo.com/assads-forces-ove ... 58222.html
The only direct foreign military intervention that has ever even been discussed has been the use of air power, either to support the rebels or to patrol "safe haven" areas....

Is Assad threatening to fire sarin gas canisters at F-18s?

Is he expecting Turkish troops to come rolling across the border?

Or, given the fact that the regime has been claiming all along that "foreign terrorists" have been central to the rebellion, is he laying a predicate for using these weapons on his own territory, against his own people, under the pretext attacking "foreign intervention".....

Or are they so desperate that they're just trying to convince everybody that they're crazy, so that the whole international community, from NATO to the Arab League, will back off?

It will be interesting to see how the Russians react to this....

Re: The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 12:04 am
by Gob
Why not just wear a T-shirt with; "Please bomb the shit out of me" written on it?

Re: The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 12:31 am
by dales
Gob wrote:Why not just wear a T-shirt with; "الرجاء من برعشيت لقصف أمريكي" written on it?
Fixed. :ok

Re: The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 3:39 am
by Econoline
Lord Jim wrote:Or, given the fact that the regime has been claiming all along that "foreign terrorists" have been central to the rebellion, is he laying a predicate for using these weapons on his own territory, against his own people, under the pretext attacking "foreign intervention".....
I'm afraid you might've hit the nail on the head there, Jim. :evil:

Re: The Noose Tightens Around The Neck Of The Hangman....

Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 12:09 pm
by dgs49
The Israeli's have hinted that if they believe that the WMD's may fall into the hands of Hezbollah (etc), they may take action to either destroy them or prevent it from happening.

"Foreigners" = Israelis and Americans.