Interesting Development...
Posted: Thu Dec 13, 2012 2:46 am
http://news.yahoo.com/big-powers-meet-s ... 23760.htmlAssad's forces fire Scuds in Syria escalation: U.S. official
WASHINGTON/BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad have fired Scud missiles at rebels trying to overthrow Syria's government, a senior U.S. official said on Wednesday, a step seen as an escalation in Assad's struggle to retain power.
U.S. officials said they were unaware of any previous instances in which Scuds were used against the rebels since the start of the 20-month-old uprising, which has killed more than 40,000 people.
White House spokesman Jay Carney declined to confirm the reports, saying he was aware of them but could not discuss intelligence matters.
"If true, this would be the latest desperate act from a regime that has shown utter disregard for innocent life," he said. "The idea that the Syrian regime would launch missiles in its borders at its own people is stunning, desperate, a completely disproportionate military escalation."
A senior U.S. official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Scuds had been used.
In Brussels, a NATO official, who also spoke on condition of anonymity, said a number of "Scud-type" short-range ballistic missiles had been launched inside Syria in recent days.
"Allied intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance assets have detected the launch of a number of unguided, short-range ballistic missiles inside Syria this week," the official said.
"Trajectory and distance travelled indicate they were Scud-type missiles," the NATO official said.
Thomas Houlahan, a military analyst at the Center for Security and Science, said the weapons were probably North Korean-made Hwasong-6 missiles, an improved variant of the original Soviet Scuds.
"In terms of the short-range battlefield missiles, they produce a pretty good missile and because of North Korea's constant need for hard currency, they sell them pretty cheap. So they have moved a lot of missiles around and Syria has ended up with a lot of them," Houlahan said.
"MORE ACCURATE"
He said the Hwasong-6 was more accurate than the original Scud, could carry a warhead of about 1,800 pounds (820 kg) and had a range of about 450 miles.
But he said the use of the weapon raised questions as to why the Syrians were not using their air force instead, which was a better alternative.
"If I want to dump 1,800 pounds of explosives on somebody with fairly decent accuracy and I have an air force and they don't, why the hell am I not using a plane?" Houlahan said.
"If you see a country or an army that has much better options not using them, you start to ask yourself why," he added. "Is it the old problem where dictators can't always trust their air forces?"
That last bit I highlighted is certainly one possibility; in a situation like this when you have your pilots take off there's no guarantee that they aren't going to fly to another country. (He's already lost several planes and pilots this way.) However, he has still used air power fairly frequently...
There's another, more ominous explanation....
There has been a lot of serious intelligence developed recently that Assad's been putting some of his chemical weapons stock into positions where they could be delivered. The Scud missile is a weapon that can easily deliver a chemical weapon warhead. (You may recall that in Gulf War I there was a lot of concern when Saddam started lobbing Scuds into Israel, that he might do just that...That's why during that period Israeli's were carrying gas masks with them everywhere they went, and would put them on whenever there was an air raid.)
It's entirely possible that the reason he's fired some of them now is to test the reliability of his missile stockpile, in case he decides to use them to deliver chemical weapons.