https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... story.htmlIf Donald Trump secures the Republican presidential nomination, he would start the general election campaign as the least-popular candidate to represent either party in modern times.
Three-quarters of women view him unfavorably. So do nearly two-thirds of independents, 80 percent of young adults, 85 percent of Hispanics and nearly half of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
Those findings, tallied from Washington Post-ABC News polling, fuel Trump’s overall 67 percent unfavorable rating — making Trump more disliked than any major-party nominee in the 32 years the survey has been tracking candidates.
Head-to-head matchups show Hillary Clinton, as well as her Democratic rival Bernie Sanders, leading Trump, often by double digits. Even his two remaining fellow GOP contenders this week backed away from earlier promises to support the eventual nominee.
And with each passing day, Trump makes moves that add further uncertainty to his ability to pivot to the general election. His defiant defense this week of his campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, who was charged with battery for yanking the arm of a female reporter, as well as Trump’s remarks Wednesday that women who get illegal abortions should be punished, might play well with his followers, but could further alienate the broader electorate.
And these numbers were gathered before Trump had his worst week of the campaign last week...
Those numbers are really staggeringly awful for Trump....
Not only is he way underwater with independents, moderates and white women, he's also underwater with conservatives, non-college whites and white men overall...
He's underwater with everybody...
In fact he's so far underwater, he's become the Jacques Cousteau of American politics...
I also found this one interesting:
Trump says he can unify the party; it seems he's on his way to doing that...
And these unfavorable ratings are finally starting to be reflected in the GOP nomination polls. Trump is down nationally versus Cruz and Kasich, he's ten points behind Cruz in Wisconsin, in a statistical tie with Kasich in Pennsylvania, and another statistical tie with Cruz in California....(I really don't have a problem with Cruz winning states at this point, though I'm certainly no supporter of his. He needs 85% of the remaining delegates for a first ballot nomination; no way Jose is that going to happen.)
And all of these polls (except for the most recent in Wisconsin) were taken before this past week...
For the first time in months, I'm finally starting to feel that it's now more likely than not that a Trump nomination will be prevented.
(I'll feel even better if he goes down in flames next week in Wisconsin, which very much looks to be likely.)If he doesn't get it on the first ballot, he doesn't get it period. And after that it's a whole new ballgame.
:
