It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

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dales
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It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by dales »

http://miami.cbslocal.com/2012/06/01/jo ... ic-in-may/




MIAMI (CBSMiami) – As the 2012 election heats up, a dismal jobs report for May is showing that while corporations and CEO’s are recovered from the Great Recession; the working class is far behind.

According to the Labor Department, only 69,000 new jobs were added in May. The unemployment rate stayed statistically unchanged at 8.2 percent, a 0.1 percent increase from April.

Going by strict economist researchers, June 2011 marks the three-year anniversary of the end of the Great Recession. However, 2012 has reflected an up-and-down job market that saw 275,000 jobs created in January and then falling to 69,000 in May.


Economists had expected a pullback in the jobs report and in gross domestic product. GDP was revised down to 1.9 percent in the first quarter from an original estimate of 2.2 percent. The average growth from 1947 to 2010 was roughly 3.3 percent.



Several influences are hampering job creation. All levels of government continue to shed jobs left and right, which accounts for roughly 1 percent of the unemployment rate. Additionally, the Euro zone is teetering on disaster in multiple countries, which is slowing down international business demand.

Still, while American workers are struggling, corporate America is enjoying record profits. According to CBSNews, company profits, after tax and unadjusted for inventories and capital consumption, increased at an annual rate of 11.7 percent from the fourth quarter of 2011 and were up 14.8 percent from one year ago.

Economists at Northeastern University discovered that from the second quarter of 2009 to the fourth quarter of 2010, “corporate profits captured 88 percent of the growth in real national income while aggregate wages and salaries accounted for only slightly more than 1 percent.”

Things could get worse for the economy as well. Speaker of the House John Boehner has already started threatening to plunge country over the debt cliff again if his party’s cuts aren’t accepted to raise the national debt ceiling.

When Boehner made the statement, markets were rattled and fellow Republicans sought to walk back his statement perhaps giving a signal that they are not ready to have a repeat of last year’s ugly debt ceiling debacle.

But beyond the debt ceiling increase that will be needed sometime near the end of the year; Congress has several crucial economic related votes to take. Congress must deal with the expiration of the Bush tax cuts, the sequester of defense and domestic cuts set to take place due to last year’s debt ceiling failure, and other economic problems.
edited to add:

http://www.npr.org/2012/06/01/154099223 ... its-shrink





June 1, 2012
May's higher unemployment rate and meager job creation couldn't have come at a worse time for people like Julia Gray. A Chicago-based writer and editor with a master's degree, Gray said she has been unemployed for 17 months. "The media world in Chicago is dead and deader," she said.

"I was collecting unemployment benefits for a while," she said. "It helped a great deal — it was incredibly important."

But now her benefits have run out, and her employment search goes on.

The Labor Department said Friday that the unemployment rate rose slightly to 8.2 percent, leaving 12.7 million Americans out of work. That unwelcome news comes just as federal support for long-term unemployment benefits is starting to shrink.

The number of workers who have gone without paychecks for more than six months jumped to 5.4 million in May, up from 5.1 million the previous month. The increase in long-term unemployment is tough news for those who are now learning their unemployment benefits are expiring this month under rules laid out earlier this year by Congress.



Three Years Of An Awful Recovery

For Long-Term Unemployed, Help Is Running Out

"The final 13 to 20 weeks of jobless insurance that workers in high-unemployment states have been relying on is now being stripped away," said Christine Owens, executive director of the National Employment Law Project, a group that advocates for low-wage workers.

"These cuts are coming faster than the economy is improving," Owens said in a written statement.

Job Creation Slows

In its May jobs report, the Labor Department said employers added just 69,000 jobs, down from April's downwardly revised 77,000 net new jobs. This spring's job-creation pace was far below the average of 200,000 paychecks added each month during the winter, and well below the level needed to drive down the unemployment rate.

Many conservatives say scaling back extended federal benefits will spur the long-term unemployed to search harder for new jobs. Today's unemployment rate, while still painfully high, is far below the 9.9 percent level that prevailed when Congress first approved the emergency benefits extension in 2009.

At this point, the argument goes, the labor market has improved enough to create opportunities for people who are willing to make necessary changes, such as moving to another location, accepting lower wages or learning new skills. "Unemployment insurance makes unemployment last longer," Casey Mulligan, a professor of economics at the University of Chicago, concluded in a written assessment of the impact of extended benefits.

Gray, the Chicago writer, disagrees with experts who say unemployment benefits discourage job searches. "I've sent out close to 300 resumes, have had a few handfuls of interviews [and] been to countless networking events," she said. "Things are still so bad."

Benefit Cuts Vary By State

The coming reductions in unemployment benefits will vary from state to state and from one individual to the next, depending on when they lost their jobs. Here's what's happening and why:

In general, the responsibility for providing workers with unemployment benefits lies with the states. The basic program typically provides laid-off workers with up to 26 weeks of financial support, replacing about half of their previous weekly wages. There are certain federal requirements, but for the most part, the states set the rules and carry the costs.

But when the Great Recession crushed the job market in 2008 and 2009, Congress agreed to provide additional federal funds to help states extend benefits, in some cases up to 99 weeks. When the authorization for federal unemployment benefits was set to expire in February 2012, Congress reauthorized the program.

New Hurdles For Aid

It wasn't, however, a simple extension. Instead, Congress introduced new hurdles for getting the aid. For one thing, states now have unemployment-rate thresholds that dictate how many weeks of additional funds they can get. So, for example, Californians are getting hit with a reduction in benefits because, despite a jobless rate of nearly 11 percent, unemployment is not worse than it was three years ago.

Today, only three states — Nevada, New Jersey and Rhode Island — are still providing 99 weeks of help to the long-term unemployed. Starting in September, the maximum number of weeks of benefits will fall to 73 — even in these highest unemployment states.

Congress also imposed new job-searching requirements on those unemployed workers who had exhausted their regular state benefits.

The National Employment Law Project estimates that by the end of the first half of 2012, nearly half a million of the longest-unemployed workers will have been abruptly cut off from the federal unemployment benefits.

And it's not just the federal help that is shrinking. Some states are making it harder for people to qualify for the first few months of benefits. For example, in Florida, the rules have been tightened so much that more than half of all applicants are being turned away.
No more "shovel-ready" projects, I suppose?

How about we start a war on some third-world country?

Your collective inability to acknowledge this obvious truth makes you all look like fools.


yrs,
rubato

dgs49
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by dgs49 »

The Eminent economist, Paul Krugman, who is said to have the ear of Our Beloved President, has suggested on his blog that we create a phony threat of an alien invasion, and mobilize the country to prepare for it. We would build special ray guns, high-speed trains, anything at all, just to spend a(nother) mountain of fiat money. He assures us that this will spur the economy into prosperity.

Who says the Democrats don't have a plan?

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Gob
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by Gob »

Sounds better than anything the repubbies have come up with ....
“If you trust in yourself, and believe in your dreams, and follow your star. . . you'll still get beaten by people who spent their time working hard and learning things and weren't so lazy.”

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Lord Jim
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by Lord Jim »

Given the kind of advice The Hack Krugman has been spewing for how to improve the economy it wouldn't surprise me to learn that he is in fact an agent for those aliens planing an invasion....
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rubato
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by rubato »

dgs49 wrote:The Eminent economist, Paul Krugman, who is said to have the ear of Our Beloved President, has suggested on his blog that we create a phony threat of an alien invasion, and mobilize the country to prepare for it. We would build special ray guns, high-speed trains, anything at all, just to spend a(nother) mountain of fiat money. He assures us that this will spur the economy into prosperity.

Who says the Democrats don't have a plan?

That was a frequent REAGAN fantasy, not Krugman.

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Rotten.com has a timeline of some of this:

4 Dec 1985
Anticipating arms control discussions with his Soviet counterpart, President Reagan draws on an extraterrestrial analogy: "[H]ow easy his task and mine might be in these meetings that we held if suddenly there was a threat to this world from some other species from another planet outside in the universe. We'd forget all the little local differences that we have between our countries ..."

17 Feb 1987
Soviet premier Mikhail Gorbachev reveals Reagan's preoccupation with space aliens: "At our meeting in Geneva, the U.S. President said that if the earth faced an invasion by extraterrestials, the United States and the Soviet Union would join forces to repel such an invasion. I shall not dispute the hypothesis, though I think it's early yet to worry about such an intrusion..."

15 Sep 1987
During a luncheon with Soviet Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnatze in the White House, President Reagan once again wondered what would happen if the Earth were under attack from an external threat: "Don't you think the United States and the Soviet Union would be together?"

4 May 1988
During a question-and-answer session in Chicago, President Reagan revisits his 'invaders from space' notion: "I've often wondered, what if all of us in the world discovered that we were threatened by an outer -- a power from outer space, from another planet. Wouldn't we all of a sudden find that we didn't have any differences between us at all, we were all human beings, citizens of the world, and wouldn't we come together to fight that particular threat?"

____________________________________________

yrs,
rubato

oldr_n_wsr
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by oldr_n_wsr »

From someone on the front lines (admittedly my own fault) of trying to find a job and get a job (I start a new job at a little over minimum on sunday) I do have to say "IT IS THE ECONOMY". We are now a "service" economy which is paid/valued less than manufacturing. If WWII ocured now, we could not marshal the needed manufacturing to beat whomever is trying. We might "launch a few"but beating back the tides is not possible.

I fear for this country for my children and whatever grandchildren they might have.

dgs49
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by dgs49 »

O&W, you have my sympathy. Having been out of work several times over the past 30 years, I must thank my wife profusely for her unspectacular but constant progression up the corporate ladder, such that when I was out of work I had the good fortune to be able to look around patiently to find something that was at least arguably suitable.

The best thing about it is, you can continue to look while you hold a lousy job, so that in time you might find something approaching what you would like to have.

I got word back a few weeks ago on a job I had interviewed for in March. I was "the second choice," or so they said. I did not get it because they thought I would be bored with it.

I would have been bored with it, but at my age, who cares? It's a paycheck.

So I remain at a job that really don't like much.

rubato
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by rubato »

The federal government can borrow at the lowest rates in history.

We have major infrastructure projects which need doing.

Which we can do now for the lowest cost in generations.

If we do them we will reduce unemployment, increase income tax revenue, increase demand for all goods and services and stimulate all future economic activity.

But we don't because Repuglicans are the stupidest people on god's earth.

That is all.

Those of us with resources are all looking to emigrate. The rest of you will have to contend with the "new Mexico" which Republican policies will bring about.



yrs,
rubato

dgs49
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by dgs49 »

(a) Major infrastructure projects take years of planning. Even rubato knows this. For a significant road project, it would be AT LEAST four years before the first spade of dirt would be turned. For H.S. Rail or a bridge or tunnel, it would be longer than that. Even replacing water and sewage infrastructure takes many years to plan and execute.

(b) We are running trillion dollar deficits now, thus PROVING to anyone who cares to give it a moment's thought that excess Government spending is not an efficacious means of creating wealth or prosperity, except for a favored few government teat-suckers.

(c) Most people looking to emigrate from California are planning to move to Texas or Florida, because decades of liberal governance in California have left that state government broke and starving - and in hock to its public-employee unions, thus guaranteeing more of the same for the foreseeable future. It is absolutely priceless that someone like rubato would want the same sort of irresponsible liberal foolishness at the national level. What was that definition of "insanity" again?

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dales
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by dales »

Most people looking to emigrate from California are planning to move to Texas or Florida....
And you know this, how?

Your collective inability to acknowledge this obvious truth makes you all look like fools.


yrs,
rubato

dgs49
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by dgs49 »

Just a hunch; no income taxes and good weather. See below for top ten reasons why BUSINESSES are leaving (Note #2 and #3):

Joseph Vranich, an Orange County-based business relocation specialist, offers these top 10 reasons why businesses are departing California:

#1 – Excessively Adversarial: For eight years in a row, Chief Executive magazine found California to be the worst state for business. Editors said the state appears to have slipped deeper into the “ninth circle of business hell,” a reference to Dante’s Inferno. “The economy, which used to outperform the rest of the country, now substantially underperforms.” They’ve called California the “Venezuela of North America.”

#2 – Severe Existing Tax Treatment: The Tax Foundation in its 2012 State Business Tax Climate Index lists California at No. 48. CFO Magazine ranked California the worst state for tax treatment, as do many other rankings.

#3 – Future Tax Increases: Businesses will face higher income and sales taxes. The state has the largest budget deficit of any state. Employer costs will rise in 2013 as payroll taxes increase to bail out the Unemployment Insurance Fund (insolvent by $10 billion) and to cover excessive borrowing from the Disability Insurance Fund. Future bond borrowing costs will grow because California is S&P's lowest-rated U.S. state. (Bloomberg News, May 18, 2012: "Gov. Jerry Brown is seeking a 38,000 percent spending increase for a proposed high-speed rail system” despite a $15.7 billion deficit.)

#4 – Worst Regulatory Burden: California approved global warming cap-and-trade initiatives with 262 pages of new regulations and fees going into effect in early 2013 even though the state contributes less than 1 percent of the worlds’ green house gases. The draconian measures ignore Bain & Co.’s “regulatory hassle index” that found “California is far worse than any other state by a very significant margin.”

#5 – Unprecedented Energy Costs: California’s commercial electrical rates already average 50 percent higher than in the rest of the country. The new 2013-2018 “green energy” mandates will boost rates by a minimum of another 19 percent in many California localities, which will harm companies in every industry.

#6 – Dreadful Legal Treatment: The Civil Justice Association of California said the state ranks 44th in legal fairness to business. In 2010, the Institute for Legal Reform found Los Angeles’ courts were the second worst in the nation for legal fairness, after Chicago’s, while San Francisco’s courts were the sixth worst.

#7 – Most Expensive Locations: The Milken Institute found that California businesses pay 23% more than the national average in operating costs. McAfee avoids hiring in California and saves about 30 percent to 40 percent every time it hires outside of the state.

#8 – Oppressive Permitting Procedures: Obtaining permits from public agencies is extraordinarily expensive and time consuming because of confusing, extraneous and harsh requirements. Example: It can take 2 years to obtain permits just to build a restaurant in California while in other states it can be as little as 1-1/2 months.

#9 – Unfriendly Even to Small Businesses: In 2012, Thumbtack.com and the Kauffman Foundation gave California an “F” grade from small businesses for overall business unfriendliness, difficult regulations, tax code, licensing and health and safety. The finding echoes the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council in Virginia 2011 conclusion that California ranked 49th overall in terms of business friendliness.

#10 – ‘Composite’ Findings Put California Last: Development Counselors International in a 2011 survey of executives found that ranked California as having the worst business climate of any state based on operating costs, taxes and deficits. That reinforced the “Pollina Corporate Top 10 Pro-Business States for 2010” study that placed the state at the bottom based on labor costs, taxes, litigation abuse, crime rates, demographics, school dropout rates and other factors.

But it can be a great place to visit.

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dales
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Re: It's The ECONOMY, Stupid!

Post by dales »

Yeah, we have enough transplants, already. :nana

Your collective inability to acknowledge this obvious truth makes you all look like fools.


yrs,
rubato

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