Polling question

[Crackpot]

Has there been any research into the general size of the groups that identify independent or republican and how that has changed during the trump presidency?

Or more to the point are the republican support numbers skewed due to a large amount of people no longer calling themselves republican due to trump?

[wesw]

d0n trust p0lls f a few th0usand pe0ple....

especially a weighted p0ll, as I believe that y0u alluded t0.....

[Crackpot]

So you agree that the reported republican support for trump is too high

[Lord Jim]

d0n trust p0lls unless they agree with my pre-conceived beliefs. Those polls are perfectly fine, and I'm happy to quote them.

Edited for accuracy...

[RayThom]

d0n trust p0lls unless they agree with my pre-c0nceived beliefs. Th0se p0lls are perfectly fine, and I'm happy t0 qu0te them.

Edited for more wes-like accuracy...

[Burning Petard]

Wesw, you need to take a good course in statistics and polling methods. A carefully selected pool of 1900 people (meaning carefully selected to be a Representative pool, that is, selected by established techniques that are proven to produce representative results) will be just as accurate as a survey of millions. Those sampling methods are well known, and well established. Of course the same techniques can be used just as efficiently to select a sample that will give pre-determined results. That is why the ethics of the polling group is so important. I trust the reliability of a poll by the Gallup organization far more that a survey by either the National Democrat party or by the NRA.

snailgate

[Sue U]

Has there been any research into the general size of the groups that identify independent or republican and how that has changed during the trump presidency?

Or more to the point are the republican support numbers skewed due to a large amount of people no longer calling themselves republican due to trump?

Trump owns a shrinking Republican party



https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/part ... ation.aspx