2020 Senate polls and projections

[Scooter]

Joni Ernst pulls back into the lead by a point in Iowa.

Democratic 50
Republican 50

[ex-khobar Andy]

This poll published today has the Iowa Democrat Greenfield up 42% to 40% (19% undecided) against Republican Joni Ernst. And among that 19%, Greenfield has a slight edge in whom they lean towards.

[Scooter]

I don't recall seeing Data for Progress ever used by Electoral-vote.com. The above results are from a Monmouth poll completed on August 3. Both polls show what other recent polls have shown, that this is a seat very much in play, when it wasn't on anyone's radar as a potential switch a few months ago.

[Scooter]

New polls pull Iowa back to the Dem column and South Carolina back to a tie.

Democratic 51
Republican 48
Ties 1

[Scooter]

A new SC poll pulls Graham ahead of Harrison by a point.

Democratic 51
Republican 49

[Scooter]

Alaska, with the latest poll showing a tie, seems to have joined the group of previously safe states that Republicans will have to fight hard to keep.

Democratic 51
Republican 48
Ties 1

[Scooter]

A tie in NC is the best poll that Thom Tillis has seen in quite a while

Democratic 50
Republican 48
Ties 2

[Scooter]

And NC moves back to the Democratic column.

Democratic 51
Republican 48
Ties 1

[Scooter]

Lindsey Graham can now start officially crapping in his pants, because South Carolina is once again a tie. Seeing him lose would be a fitting consolation now that it appears that Mitch McConnell remains safe in Kentucky. But Martha McSally and Susan Collins are definitely going to be sent packing. Too bad, so sad.

Democratic 51
Republican 47
Ties 2

[Scooter]

Joni Ernst may be joining the unemployment line based on the latest poll from Ann Selzer, known for her highly accurate Iowa polling.

Democratic 52
Republican 46
Ties 2

[Scooter]

Ossoff and Perdue are now tied in Georgia.

Democratic 51
Republican 46
Ties 3

[Scooter]

A new poll in Georgia put Perdue two points ahead of Ossoff. It's going to be a tight (and very expensive) race.

Democratic 51
Republican 47
Ties 2

[Scooter]

Lindsey Graham is up by only a point in South Carolina. I hope he is dirtying his pants.

Democratic 51
Republican 48
Ties 1

[Scooter]

Jon Ossoff now leads David Perdue in Georgia by a point.

Democratic 52
Republican 47
Ties 1

[Scooter]

Perdue overtakes Ossoff in Georgia.

Democratic 51
Republican 48
Ties 1

[Scooter]

I missed a change the other day that put Ossoff back ahead of Perdue in Georgia.

Democratic 52
Republican 47
Ties 1

[Big RR]

Hopefully this will stay because if Trump wins (and I am afraid he may), I'd bet he'd try to pack the court now that he's learned he might be able to. With the Senate behind him, who knows what could happen.

[Scooter]

I think most analysts believe that taking the Senate will be unlikely for Democrats if Trump manages to hold onto the presidency.

[Scooter]

And Georgia flips back to Perdue by two points. But four polls, only one with a lead of less than five points, suggest that Cal Cunningham's sex scandal has not hurt him in North Carolina.

Democratic 51
Republican 48
Ties 1

[Sue U]

Would like to see a new poll in KY following the McConnell-McGrath debate. And I suspect SC is not as pink as shown.