This would seem to back up my analysis:
Emmanuel Macron leads Marine Le Pen by at least 20 points in every French election poll since end of first round
Former socialist minister expected to win in landslide after second round of voting
Emmanuel Macron is at least 20 points ahead of Marine Le Pen in every poll on the French presidential election taken since the first round of voting.
Mr Macron, a former minister who set up his own party to run for president, came top on Sunday, with 23.8 per cent of the ballots cast.
Ms Le Pen, the former Front National (FN) leader, joined the 38-year-old in the presidential run-off after coming second with 21.5 per cent of the vote.
But every survey suggests Mr Macron will claim a landslide victory when French voters go back to the booth on 7 May.
Polling conducted by Elabe and Harris both give the centrist candidate a 38-point lead, while Ipsos calculated a cushion of 24 points.
OpinionWay put Ms Le Pen 22 points behind, while Ifop conducted two rounds of polling, putting her 20 and 21 points back respectively.
Leading politics experts believe Mr Macron will “blow Marine Le Pen out of the water” following his successful 'En Marche!' campaign.
Dr Rainbow Murray, [Okay, I admit it's tough to take somebody seriously whose name is "Rainbow"...but even so...] a French politics expert from Queen Mary University, told The Independent it would take a scandal of "significant proportion" to ruin his chances.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world ... 01986.html
Now, before somebody jumps up and says "Yeah, but all the polls said Hillary would win, and look what happened"...
Let me point out a couple of things...
First of all when it came to the national popular vote projections, (which is how the French election will be decided) the polls were
NOT wrong...
The final RCP average of polls was
well within the margin of error, versus the final result...
Hillary won the popular vote with 48.2% to 46.1% for Trump....
The final RCP average of polls had Hillary carrying the popular vote nationally by 46.8% to 43.6%...
(A difference of about 1%...on this score, the polls were spot on)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -5491.html
Second, no poll
ever, had Hillary leading by 20 plus points...
And the final round in the French Presidential election is only two weeks away, so there's not a whole lot of time for these dynamics to change...